The UK Department for Transport has released a forecast for post 2010 casualties. The purpose of the paper is to reduce casualties that may occur in car accidents.
The forecasting models have been updated annually, and the results have shown that the forecasting methodology is broadly reliable. The report for next 20 years generally predicts reduction in car accident casualties, both fatal and serious. It predicts that car accidents will still cause fatal casualties, but on average there is going to be one-third less than the average number of fatal casualties on 2005-2007.
The numbers are similar when it comes to children fatal casualties caused by car accidents and the number of seriously injured children could drop by a bit less than a half. After year 2030 further reductions can be expected.
However, this can only be the case, the report explains, if all precautions are taken and continuation of current efforts to improve road safety in Great Britain is maintained. If financial cuts will be applied, many of the planned developments and improvements may not take place and the situation can remain the same or even worsen.